Strategic
Outlook 2021
Contents
BLM protest
Covid africa image
Trump image

EUROPE
A chance for renewal


EURASIA
Controlled competition


WEST & CENTRAL AFRICA
Widening disparities


EAST & SOUTHERN AFRICA
A slow and bumpy recovery


NORTH AFRICA
Stability in jeopardy


MIDDLE EAST
Old rivalries, new alliances


SOUTH ASIA
Pushing boundaries and borders


ASIA PACIFIC
Brinkmanship and detente


LATIN AMERICA & CARIBBEAN
Reliance and restiveness


NORTH AMERICA
Rebuilding trust


                                                                        

Editors

Henry Wilkinson, Jesper Cullen                       

Graphic Design

Lindsay Lombard, Kevin Frimpong         

Contributors

Alexander Stonor, Barbara Keleman, Francisco Mazzola, Hannah Poppy, Henry Wilkinson, Hugo Crosthwaite,
Jesper Cullen, Joel Gulhane, Manish Gohil, Stephanie Karra, Thomas Murphy, Tim Powdrill, Tristan Gueret,
Will Johnston, Zaynab Olyabek



LEADER

Control and containment


METHODOLOGY

A user guide


ABOUT SIAS

An intelligence capability



01

02

06

05

03

04

07

08

09

10

     This highly anticipated product serves as a key touchpoint for our annual planning process and is consistently insightful, relevant and timely.
New image New image
Intelligence director of a major global hospitality company
EU arrow
Leader arrow
Methodology arrow
SIAS arrow
EA arrow
WCA arrow
ESA arrow
SA arrow
APAC arrow
ME arrow
NA arrow
NAM arrow
LATAM arrow
Covid image
                                                

STRATEGIC OUTLOOK 2021
A GLOBAL SECURITY FORECAST

SIAS | SECURITY INTELLIGENCE & ANALYSIS SERVICE First published January 2021 by The Risk Advisory Group Ltd

3 More London Riverside, London, SE1 2AQ, United Kingdom © 2021 The Risk Advisory Group Ltd

SIAS | SECURITY INTELLIGENCE & ANALYSIS SERVICE

The Risk Advisory Group Ltd is a leading independent global risk consultancy that helps businesses grow whilst protecting their people, their assets and their brands. The driving purpose of Risk Advisory’s Intelligence and Security practice is to reduce clients’ security-risk anxiety and free them up to achieve their goals, knowing their people, assets and reputation are safe. By providing facts, intelligence, analysis and security expertise Risk Advisory helps its clients negotiate complex and uncertain environments to choose the right opportunities, in the right markets, with the right partners.                  

www.riskadvisory.com                   

All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be printed or reproduced or utilised in any form or by any electronic, mechanical, or other means, now known or hereafter invented, including photocopying and recording, or in any information storage or retrieval system, without permission in writing from the publisher.                   

Cover image: Yasuyoshi Chiba/Getty Images

Contents images: Kevin Frayer/Getty Images

Strategic
Outlook 2021
Contents
                                                

STRATEGIC OUTLOOK 2021
A GLOBAL SECURITY FORECAST

SIAS | SECURITY INTELLIGENCE & ANALYSIS SERVICE First published January 2021 by The Risk Advisory Group Ltd

3 More London Riverside, London, SE1 2AQ, United Kingdom © 2021 The Risk Advisory Group Ltd

SIAS | SECURITY INTELLIGENCE & ANALYSIS SERVICE

The Risk Advisory Group Ltd is a leading independent global risk consultancy that helps businesses grow whilst protecting their people, their assets and their brands. The driving purpose of Risk Advisory’s Intelligence and Security practice is to reduce clients’ security-risk anxiety and free them up to achieve their goals, knowing their people, assets and reputation are safe. By providing facts, intelligence, analysis and security expertise Risk Advisory helps its clients negotiate complex and uncertain environments to choose the right opportunities, in the right markets, with the right partners.                  

www.riskadvisory.com                   

All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be printed or reproduced or utilised in any form or by any electronic, mechanical, or other means, now known or hereafter invented, including photocopying and recording, or in any information storage or retrieval system, without permission in writing from the publisher.                   

Cover image: Yasuyoshi Chiba/Getty Images

Contents images: Kevin Frayer/Getty Images

                                                                        

Editors

Henry Wilkinson, Jesper Cullen                       

Graphic Design

Lindsay Lombard, Kevin Frimpong         

Contributors

Alexander Stonor, Barbara Keleman, Francisco Mazzola, Hannah Poppy, Henry Wilkinson, Hugo Crosthwaite,
Jesper Cullen, Joel Gulhane, Manish Gohil, Stephanie Karra, Thomas Murphy, Tim Powdrill, Tristan Gueret,
Will Johnston, Zaynab Olyabek


01

02

06

05

03

04

07

08

09

10