Strategic Outlook 2021 is a global security and geopolitical estimate. Its primary focus is to provide an expansive set of assessments on crisis and security challenges in 2021, but also a strategic overview of macro trends and geopolitics that shape and define risks.
Before writing the Strategic Outlook, we speak with sources, identify and reconsider our assumptions, look back at what we have previously forecast, and consider the questions or issues that our clients have been asking us about. We also draw on open-source research and conduct targeted intelligence-gathering. We aim to present our forecasts in plain English, using visualisations to add context and transparency.
Methodology
TREND INDICATORS
These are net judgements on whether we anticipate — on balance — security and political risks to grow, stabilise or lessen over the course of 2021.
Methodology
Strategic Outlook 2021 is a global security and geopolitical forecast. Its primary focus is to provide an expansive set of assessments on crisis and security challenges in 2021, but also a strategic overview of macro trends and geopolitics that shape and define risks.
final call always rests on a qualitative estimative judgement. Our analysts are regional and thematic specialists; our approach is collaborative and emphasises creative thinking, rigorous peer review and red teaming.
Before writing the Strategic Outlook, we speak with sources, identify and reconsider our assumptions, look back at what we have previously forecast, and consider
the questions or issues that our clients
have been asking us about. We also
draw on open-source research and
conduct targeted intelligence-gathering. We aim to present our forecasts in plain English, using visualisations to add context and transparency.
TREND INDICATORS
These are net judgements on whether we anticipate — on balance — security and political risks to grow, stabilise or lessen over the course of 2021.