THE GLOBAL UNRAVELLING
STRATEGIC OUTLOOK 2023
Scenarios
We have developed scenarios for 15 pertinent geopolitical and security flashpoints. These illustrate our assessments of how each of these flashpoints could play out in the coming years, with clear likelihoods attached to each scenario. In order to allow clients to monitor developments and anticipate future risk, each scenario is accompanied by indicators to watch, as well as forecasts for knock-on implications.
Click on a flashpoint to view a scenario