Images: Getty Images (Sam Yeh; I-Hwa Cheng; Ezra Acayan; Kazuhiro Nogi; Nhax Nguyen)
STRATEGIC OUTLOOK 2023
Asia Pacific | Top five risk drivers
Chinese military exercises and diplomatic activity targeting Taiwan is likely to increase during 2023. We assess that Beijing is likely to continue to try to undermine the resolve of Taiwan to resist unification with China. So it will use military exercises, propaganda and diplomatic activity to isolate the country. Such activity will probably increase around flashpoints including US arms sales, foreign diplomatic visits and especially at the end of the year in the lead up to Taiwan and US presidential elections in 2024.