Images: Getty Images (Tony Karumba;Simon Maina; Eduardo Soteras; Patrick Meinhardt; Luke Dray)
STRATEGIC OUTLOOK 2023
East & Southern Africa | Top five risk drivers
Deteriorating socioeconomic conditions caused by external economic shocks to vulnerable commodity-based economies is likely to drive organised crime. The current youth bulge cohort experiencing high rates of poverty and unemployment will ensure steady recruitment for criminal syndicates. Corruption means that governments will probably not be able to counter these groups. This is likely to increase risks to freight routes, supply chains and overland travel. Safety and security risks will also ensue, even in wealthier areas as crime becomes more brazen.